HOTSPOT
China-Taiwan
A Review of Recent Chinese Communist War-making Efforts
Reports on China-Taiwan:
main page | In Depth | Espionage | Criminal Sabotage | Chip War
U.S. military leaders and experts expect war
with China 2025-2027
THE MAIN AREAS OF CONFLICT with China center on:
TAIWAN: Military Threats of Blockade and/or Invasion.
SOUTH CHINA SEA: China's Illegal Claims of Ownership, subsequent Military Occupation, and Harassment of Foreign Ships in the waters of Taiwan, the Philippians, and Vietnam - also Japan in the East China Sea.
ESPIONAGE AGAINST THE WEST: The biggest threat to Western countries comes from China's spying, infiltration, and stealing of intellectual property (corporate and military technology), and includes corruption and coercion of foreign leaders.
SILENCING OF OPPONENTS - WORLDWIDE: This seems to be a common issue with authoritarian (non-democratic) nations, and it is no less a major problem with China. Using monitoring, tracking and targeting of opponents China is known to harassments, use mafia-style tactics, and use extreme economic and legal coercion to target their opponents worldwide.
LAST UPDATED: Jan 9, 2025
PAGE SECTIONS:
IN BLUE (left) ROC - Republic of China (Taiwan) - a democracy - 24 million population - an island nation located 110miles (180km) off the eastern Pacific Coast of mainland China. Taiwan also consists of 168 islands. Japan is to its northeast and the Philippians is to its south.
IN RED (left) PRC - People's Republic of China (mainland) - authoritarian government run by the CCP (Chinese Communist Party) - 1.4 billion population.
BACKGROUND: The ROC used to be the ruling government of mainland China from 1912 until 1949. The ROC were defeated by the communists on the mainland in the Chinese Civil War, then they relocated to island of Taiwan.
SEE ALSO: U.S.-Taiwan Relations
2024 UPDATE: War with China is just as likely to start over the Philippians than over Taiwan. China has built man-made islands in Pilipino (EEZ) waters, patrols it, and harasses Pilipino vessels there. In 2024, China has been significantly increasing their threats and harassment of Pilipino boats to the point of actual physical military actions (ramming and boarding). Chinese actions could have killed Philipinos - a line crossed that would bring the U.S. into War with China. So far, no one has been killed yet, but many Pilipinos have already been seriously injured.
The U.S. has a mutual defense treaty with the Philippians. The U.S., Canada, Australia, Japan, and other U.S. allies have increased their support for the Philippians through joint military operations in the area and an increase military aid. While the U.S. no longer has bases there, over the past few years the U.S. has established facilities at Pilipino bases.
Without Electricity... Can You Live Like It's 1880!?
THE MOST SERIOUS THREAT WE FACE IS...
The Power Grid being hacked/disabled if at war.
“If the grid went down for a long enough time…
90 percent of the U.S. population would die from starvation, lack of water, and social disruption. We are talking about total devastation.”
-- Ambassador Henry Cooper, Former Director of U.S. Strategic Defense
2025-2027
Countdown to War with China
Chinese Attack on Taiwan expected 2025-2027 by most military experts including many U.S. generals and admirals in the Pacific.
China continues Military Actions against the Philippians and Japan in their own waters.
Strategic Importance of Taiwan - With only two direct international shipping lanes from Asia to the Pacific Ocean, both are directly next to Taiwan, One-Third of all global maritime shipping goes through this area. Additionally 98% of all under-sea data/communications with Asia, 31% of U.S. pharmaceutical drugs come through this area too (18% from India, 13% from China - source: 2019 FDA report). Taiwan manufactures 92% of the world's advanced micro chips and 53% of all micro chips globally, that including 70% of global smartphone chips and 35% of global automotive chips (source: RHG).
U.S. Power Grid likely Disabled in a first wave hacking attack by China. How long will it be down? Unknown, but expect it to be an ongoing frontline battleground of hacking attacks. ThreatBoard's assessment is that the Grid will be taken down for at least 2 to 3 months in the first hacking attack. If there are also homeland physical sabotage attacks on the Power Grid, that timeframe could easily reach 1 year causing a 90% death rate in the U.S.
[ see Special Report on The Power Grid ]Extended Economic Depression
The Rand research organization estimates that a war involving China and the U.S. over Taiwan would be the biggest blow to American prosperity since the Great Depression in the 1930s. SOURCE: Yahoo Finance: Aug 2022
Rand predicts a 5 to 10% fall in U.S. GDP in the first year. Compare that with a 12% fall in GDP the first year of the Great Depression.
PUTTING THIS ALL TOGETHER with even a temporary disabling of the U.S. Power Grid and this will severely disrupt the U.S. Economy, easily placing us into an extended Economic Depression, some say an even Greater Depression than of the 1930s.
U.S. Air Force General warns
of War with China in 2025
4 Star U.S. Air Force General Mike Minihan
Jan 2023 | 3 min | News Nation
China could mount Full-Scale Invasion by 2025, says Taiwan defence minister | The Guardian | Oct 2021 | also on NBC
China's Xi has ordered military to be ready for Taiwan invasion by 2027, says CIA Director | Fox News | Feb 2023
CIA chief warns against underestimating Xi's ambitions toward Taiwan | Reuters | Feb 2023
China is Preparing for War in 2025...
The SEVERE economic consequences it may bring
April 2023 | 9 min | Glenn Beck
Recent News
Did China Cut Undersea Cables in Taiwan Strait and Baltic Sea?
a Round Table Discussion
Jan 9, 2025 | 27 min | Taiwan Talks - Taiwan Public TV in English
China Hacks US Treasury Department in 'Major Breach': Report
Dec 31, 2024 | 8 min | Fox Business
Military Expert Sounds Alarm:
China will use Cyber Warfare to 'break the will' of American People
Dec 19, 2024 | 6 min | Fox Business
China-backed Hackers accessed Major U.S. Internet Providers, report says
Aug 2024 | 5 min | CBS News
Oh Say Can You CCP - We’re In Trouble?
NEW - Nov 8, 2024 | 40 min | Dr. Phil Podcast
CCP = Chinese Communist Party
Chinese Hackers targeted Trump and JD Vance’s phones, per New York Times report
NEW - Oct 25, 2024 | 3 min | Fox News
Our Enemies are Thinking about Coordinating Nuke Attacks on US, warns China expert
NEW - Sept 2024 | 8 min | Fox Business
Why U.S Won’t Remove Missiles Next to China
Oct 2024 | 20 min | Task & Purpose
Preparing for War Against China,
Russia and North Korea
July 2024 | 26 min | 60 Minutes Australia
U.S. and Allies train in the largest military exercise in the History of the World
FBI Director Christopher Wray explains
China's threat to U.S. Cyber Security
"The Defining Threat of Our Generation"
Jan 31, 2024 | 9 min | C-SPAN
Official Data 2007-2023 (FY Oct-Sept)
Waves of Chinese Nationals at Southern Border
Sept 2023 | 6 min | News Nation
Fox captures video of Chinese Nationals being released in Texas amid migrant surge
March 2023 | 6 min | Fox Business
Something Has Changed With Taiwan…
Nov 11, 2023 | 9 min | ChinaUncensored
(an affiliate of The Epoch Times)
Expert warns China and U.S. 'pretty close to conflict'
Nov 4, 2023 | 4 min | Fox Business
Things ‘heating up’ in South China sea while everyone is ‘looking elsewhere’
Oct 30, 2023 | 6 min | Sky News Australia
Intelligence Expert Breaks Down China’s Secret Spy Bases in Cuba
Sept 2023 | 5 min | Wall St Journal
CHINA-U.S. RELATIONS
The Chinese Regime has the Momentum: Gordon Chang
May 2023 | 7 min | Fox Business
GLOBAL ECONOMIC IMPACT OF WAR
How the China-Taiwan conflict could be devastating for the global economy
May 2023 | 21 min | DW News (German Public TV)
China-Taiwan: In Depth
Overview, Background, and Analysis
China’s Military is Growing – Fast
March 2022 | 14 min | Bloomberg
China's Cold War Against the West
Spying, Infiltration and Sabotage
FBI, MI-5 Give Warning on China Deploying Network of Spies
July 2022 | 3 min | NBC
Threats to Freedom of the Sea
in the South West Pacific (Oceania), South China Sea, and East China Sea
One-Third of all Global Maritime (Sea-based) Trade Travels through the South China Sea. In 2009, China claimed ownership of most of it and placed itself in direct conflict with the rights of neighboring nations and International Law (including Freedom of the Sea and International Air Space).
Wikipedia: South China Sea (Islands), West Philippine Sea: includes parts of the South China Sea directly to the west of the Philippines in it's EEZ (Exclusive Economic Zone) which includes the Spratly Islands and Scarborough Shoal.
Freedom of Navigation Operations (FONOPs)
United Nations Convention for The Law of The Sea (UNCLOS)
Aug 2020 | 14 min | TLDR News
Wikipedia Article
China's New Official Map Shows China is a Bully to All Their Neighbors
Oct 25, 2023 | 16 min | Johnny Harris
Canada’s Defence Minister Bill Blair
Chinese Fighter Jets fire Flares near Canadian Helicopter in "significantly unsafe" moves
Nov 3, 2023 | 3 min | Global News
Pentagon Footage Shows Chinese Jets Feet Away From U.S. Planes
Oct 18, 2023 | 2 min | Wall St Journal
Pentagon releases video of Chinese fighter jet within feet of US bomber
Oct 27, 2023 | 2 min | ABC News
Chinese fighter jet was "dangerous and reckless" towards Canadian surveillance plane on U.N. mission
Oct 16, 2023 | 2 min | Global News
What a Canadian Warship is doing in the Taiwan Strait
Sept 11, 2023 | 7 min | CBC (Canadian Public TV)
China continues to threaten U.S. Military Aircraft flying through the Taiwan Straits in International Airspace
July 2023 | 3 min | Sky News Australia
China almost purposely collides with U.S. Warship in International Waters
June 2023 | 4 min | ABC News
Original Report from Canadian News
"China has a Blood-Lust Against the U.S."
China 'BUZZES' - Almost Collides with U.S. Military Aircraft in International Airspace
May 2023 | 6 min | NewsMax
CHINA ISSUES MAJOR THREAT
China Announces It Will Launch Inspection of Ships in Taiwan Strait
April 2023 | 4 min | DW News (German Public TV)
CNN Gets Rare Access Aboard U.S. Military Surveillance Flight Over South China Sea
Feb 2023 | 4 min | CNN
Threats to Taiwan
Taiwan - Prepping for War
Nov 12, 2023 | 24 min | Ch 4 UK
Additional News of Note:
Taiwan orders 10,000 locally made rocket launchers - Nov 2023
Taiwan develops military sub - Sept 2023
Chinese Fishing Boat Seized for Illegally Entering Taiwan's Waters
Nov 14, 2023 | 2 min | TaiwanPlus (Public TV)
List of 168 Taiwan Islands
Taiwan Boosts Presence on Disputed South China Sea Island
Nov 7, 2023 | 2 min | TaiwanPlus (Public TV)
Taiping Island | List of 168 Taiwan Islands
How China's Threat of Invasion Is Changing Taiwan
July 2023 | 7 min | Bloomberg
Inside a Taiwan Military Base Preparing for Chinese Invasion Threat
July 2023 | 3 min | NBC News
Taiwanese Official Declares Cyber War with China Already Underway
Feb 2023 | 4 min | Sky News Australia
Taiwan to hold Military Drills to prepare for potential Chinese Blockade
April 2023 | 6 min | Sky News Australia
China’s Cyber Assault on Taiwan
Oct 2022 | 6 min | 60 Minutes
Life in Taiwan with China Flexing its Military Might
Oct 2022 | 13 min | 60 Minutes
How China’s Military Drills Could Choke Off Taiwan’s Internet
Sept 2022 | 5 min | Wall St Journal
Analysis of Chinese Military Exercises in and around Taiwan Waters
Aug 2022 | 4 min | Sky News Australia
China Fires Missiles Towards Taiwan Strait in Drill after Pelosi Visit
Aug 2022 | 7 min | CNN
Threats to The Philippines
in the South China Sea
The West Philippine Sea includes parts of the South China Sea directly to the west of the Philippines in it's EEZ (Exclusive Economic Zone) which includes the Spratly Islands and Scarborough Shoal. In 2012, China illegally snatched control of the Scarborough Shoals from the Philippines though the building of man-made islands and a heavy coast guard ship presence.
The Bashi Channel Map
Major Choke Point closest to south-side of Taiwan. East-West Transit into/from the Pacific Ocean and the South China Sea.
The Batanes Islands
On the Bashi Channel - farthest northern islands in the Philippines - less than 100 miles (160km) from Taiwan.
U.S. Military in Talks To Develop Port in the Batane Islands on the The Bashi Channel
Aug 2023 | 3 min | TaiwanPlus (Public TV)
SEE ALSO: REUTERS - "U.S military in talks to develop port in Philippines facing Taiwan" - Aug 30, 2023
How the Philippines can Prevent an Invasion of Taiwan: The Bashi Channel
July 2023 | 8 min | Hindsight
BACKGROUND & ANALYSIS
This Could Start World War 3
1 hr | Nov 20, 2023 | China Unscripted
Watch a Risky China-Philippines Confrontation in the South China Sea
March 15, 2024 | 4 min | Wall St Journal
Additional News of Note:
Nov 10, 2023 | Philippines to acquire 5 patrol ships through Japan aid | ANC (Philippines)
- Nov 7, 2023 | Canada Grants Philippines Access to 'Dark Ship' Tracking System (civilian and military ships that have turned of their AIS ID trackers) | Taiwan Talks (Public TV) | Canada Tech Article
Nov 4, 2023 | Japan grants 12 ships to Philippine Coast Guard, radars to Air Force and Navy | ANC (Philippines)
How Far is the Philippines willing to go to Defend its Claims in the South China Sea?
Dec 14, 2023 | 7 min | DW News (German Public TV)
Philippines sends Fishing Vessels to China-claimed Scarborough Shoal
Sept 2023 | 8 min | DW News (German Public TV)
Chinese Coast Guard in High-Seas chase with Philippine Vessels
Nov 11, 2023 | 2 min | Manila Bulletin
The Philippines: Threatened By China, The Country Is Moving Closer to the U.S.
Oct 23, 2023 | 7 min | Wall St. Journal
China Coast Guard Blasts Philippine Vessels With Water Cannon
Aug 7, 2023 | 4 min | TaiwanPlus (Taiwan Public TV)
Countering China: How the Philippines Became Key to U.S.'s Pacific Strategy
May 2023 | 7 min | Wall St Journal
U.S. Launches Biggest Military Build-up in the Philippines since End of the Cold War
Feb 2023 | 6 min | ABC News Australia
China's Maritime Militias in the South China Sea
July 2019 | 2 min | CSIS
Threats to Japan
in the East China Sea
Tokyo Conducts 1st Evacuation Drill in years as North Korea ramps up Missile Launches
Nov 7, 2023 | 2 min | Global News
Chinese and Japanese Coast Guard Ships face off around Disputed Islands
Oct 2023 | 2 min | CNA (Singapore)
JAPAN NOT READY TO DEFEND ITSELF
What's behind Japan's Massive Military Build-up Plan?
Sept 2023 | 8 min | DW News (German Public TV)
China Hacking Japan’s Defense Network could be part of a Sweeping Espionage Campaign
Aug 2023 | 5 min | MSNBC
CHINA & JAPAN
China Enters Japanese Waters with Amphibious Assault Fleet
July 2023 | 3 min | Sub Brief
JAPAN PREPARING FOR WAR
Why is Japan Fortifying its Small Islands, and why is it such a big deal?
Feb 2023 | 30 min | ABC Australia
JAPAN PREPARING FOR WAR
Japan Unveils Biggest Military Build-up since World War II, Doubling its Military Budget
Dec 2021 | 4 min | DW News (German Public TV)
2 China Coast Guard Ships intrude into Japan's Territorial Waters
Nov 2022 | 1 min | Nippon TV (Japan)
Threats to Australia
in the South West Pacific (Oceania)
Australian Navy Divers Injured by Chinese Warship's Sonar Pulses
Nov 18, 2023 | 3 min | ABC News Australia
Australia could be China’s ‘next target’ after Taiwan
Feb 2023 | 3 min | Sky News Australia
China deploys Hundreds of Spy Satellites over Australia
Aug 2023 | 3 min | ABC News Australia
Australia issues Warning ahead of arrival of Chinese Spy Ships
July 2023 | 3 min | Sky News Australia
The United States' Growing Military Footprint in Australia explained
May 2023 | 4 min | ABC News Australia
How Australia’s New Submarines Fuse Western Military Tech to Counter China
May 2023 | 4 min | Wall St Journal
China to send Police to the Solomon Islands
July 14, 2023 | 3 min | Sky News Australia
“We now have a country … just off the northeast coast of Australia that is sliding further and further into China’s orbit,” - Lincoln Parker
AUSTRAILIA PREPARING FOR WAR
China's Aggression Could Start New World War.
Is Australia Ready for War?
Feb 2023 | 54 min | Sky News Australia
CHINA PREPARING FOR WAR
TOO CLOSE TO HOME
China's new target in the battle to control the Pacific
July 2022 | 29 min | 60 Minutes Australia
Chinese Spy Ship detected off Western Coast of Australia, near Secretive Naval Facility
May 2022 | 2 min | ABC News Australia
see also:
China-Taiwan: In Depth | Spying, Infiltration, and Sabotage | The Global Chip War
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